Swing State News
The Daily Signal provides tracking political campaigns, polling, and election developments in key swing states.
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news
2030 Census Shake-Up: Which States Win and Lose Under Trump’s Plan?
The Trump administration’s proposed changes to the 2030 U.S. census, to cease counting illegal immigrants, could boost congressional seats and electoral votes for battleground states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin at the expense of large states such as California and Texas, research suggests. A 2024 study projected immigration trends under the Biden administration for the… -
opinion
How Wrong Will the Midterms Forecast for Ohio Turn Out to Be?
It’s a midterm year with a Republican in the White House, and so, if history holds, Republicans face an uphill battle this November. A bad night for Republicans, including in Ohio, is possible, but is it likely? If you believe the polls, forecasts, and betting markets, Ohio Republicans could see losses ahead on Nov. 3…. -
news
Thune, Collins Discuss Polarized Senate Race, GOP Chairman Speaks on State of the Race
ATLANTA—On Friday, Senate Majority Leader John Thune joined Rep. Mike Collins for a press conference in Atlanta to discuss the “No Tax on Tips” measure that previously passed Congress and to explain how Collins’ opponent for U.S. Senate represents the “[Democratic Socialists of America] wing” of the Democratic Party. Discussing the prior presidential administration under… -
news
Ben Shapiro Comes Armed With Advice and Warnings for ‘Least Popular Midterms in History’
Thursday’s episode of “The Tony Kinnett Cast” featured a discussion with Ben Shapiro centered around the upcoming midterms, including as they pertain to a recent film by The Daily Wire. Shapiro described “Run Hide Fight: Infidels” as a film that “makes clear the threat of political Islam and the most radical manifestation” of that. It… -
news
Collins’ Support Increasing in New Poll, Quantus Insights Says
A new poll conducted from Sept. 14-16 by Quantus Insights shows the Georgia Senate race tightening, with Rep. Mike Collins gaining ground on incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff. The poll shows Ossoff leading Collins 48.2% to 44.4%, putting Collins within the margin of error. “Jon Ossoff’s toxic far-left record is being exposed, and this race is… -
news
Georgia Election Committee Holds Meeting Weighing Risks and Recommendations
ATLANTA—The Joint Election Equipment Specifications and Standards Committee recently held its third meeting at Georgia’s General Assembly to discuss recommendations for the state’s next voting system. The committee was created through Senate Resolution 3 EX during this year’s special legislative session and has been “tasked with evaluating specifications and requirements for election equipment utilizing hand-marked… -
news
Secret Ballot at Risk: Unpacking Technology’s Hidden Dangers
Researchers are warning that rapid growth in artificial intelligence is making it essential to properly respond to a flaw in the state of Georgia’s voting equipment that makes it possible for voters to be tied to their ballots after voting. This vulnerability is especially important as ballot privacy is a right under the state’s constitution…. -
news
Kemp Endorses Collins in Georgia Senate Race
In one of the most scrutinized midterm races across the country, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp has endorsed Rep. Mike Collins, the Republican candidate running for Senate against Democrat Sen. Jon Ossoff. According to a Collins campaign press release, Kemp commended Collins for his sound leadership, good results, and pledge to put the state above all… -
news
Mike Collins’ RNC Speech: Honoring Laken Riley’s Legacy Amidst Ossoff’s Woke Agenda
Rep. Mike Collins, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, centered his speech last night at the Republican National Committee’s Midterm Convention on the Laken Riley Act and described Sen. Jon Ossoff’s “far-left agenda.” Joining Collins was Laken Riley’s family. Riley, an Augusta University nursing student, was murdered in 2024 by an illegal immigrant who had been… -
news
Georgia Election Committee Discusses Ballot-on-Demand, Needs of Latinos and Disabled
ATLANTA—The Joint Election Equipment Specifications and Standards Committee on Thursday held its second meeting at the Georgia Statehouse, and lawmakers heard testimony about ballot-on-demand technology, cybersecurity, and ensuring that the state’s new voting system considers the needs of Latinos and individuals with disabilities. The meeting featured state Sens. Max Burns, Rick Williams, and Bo Hatchett… -
news
Georgia Voters’ Opinions on Health Care Revealed in Poll
As Georgia voters consider whom they want to be their next governor, a recent poll reveals that many are concerned about the rising cost of health care. The University of Georgia recently conducted a poll of nearly 1,000 likely voters to gather their opinions on which election issues matter most to them. The poll, sponsored… -
news
How Will Data Centers Affect Ohio’s Elections?
It’s a critical election year, and candidates running for Senate and governor in Ohio are becoming increasingly aware that the issue of data centers could play a key role in the outcome of the election. On Wednesday, Axios reported on a private memo from the National Republican Senatorial Committee to artificial intelligence companies—it was titled… -
exclusive
EXCLUSIVE: Grassroots Support for Jon Husted Continues
FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—Grassroots support for Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, has continued to grow ahead of his special election, as Americans for Prosperity Action and its sister group, LIBRE Initiative Action, released new ads aimed at helping the senator win in November. Two new ads from AFP Action focus on Husted “Putting Ohio First,”… -
news
Jon Ossoff’s $3,000 Makeup—What Do Georgians Think?
What a candidate spends on makeup might seem to be a trivial matter, but in the case of Sen. Jon Ossoff, some Georgians think it matters a lot. Two weeks ago, The Washington Free Beacon published a review of Ossoff’s campaign spending. It found that he spent nearly $3,000 on a makeup artist, outspending even… -
news
Jackson Launches Massive $87 Million Ad Blitz Against Keisha Lance Bottoms in Governor’s Race
Georgia gubernatorial candidate and healthcare executive Rick Jackson has launched a massive ad blitz against former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms. While the ads were originally set to air Saturday, Aug. 1, Jackson’s initial ad in his campaign blitz seemingly launched a day earlier with the release of an ad entitled “Legacy” on X. When… -
news
Will Apathy Cost Ossoff His Senate Seat? New Polling Shows Collins in Lead Among Older Voters
A recent poll on Georgia elections shows Rep. Mike Collins leads Sen. Jon Ossoff among older voters in the race for U.S. Senate. Will votes by older Georgians cost the incumbent senator his job? In a poll conducted July 13-16 by Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP, Collins leads voters over the age of… -
opinion
From Lawsuits to Begrudging Admissions, a Crazy Week for Dems on Election Integrity
Last week brought several developments regarding Democrats on election integrity, demonstrating the party is falling into disarray over what is a widely supported issue for Americans. Some were not shocking, such as a lawsuit from Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. Others were a bit surprising, like strategist James Carville coming out in support of voter ID…. -
analysis
Election Fraud Convictions Offer Real-World Test of SAVE Act’s Potential Impact
The SAVE America Act could have curbed hundreds of documented instances of noncitizens registering to vote and dozens of instances of noncitizens voting in elections, based on recent state data and criminal cases. A review of adjudicated election fraud cases suggests that a federal law requiring verified citizenship and photo ID—such as the SAVE America… -
news
Democrat Surges in Fundraising to Unseat Republican Senator
The fundraising numbers are out for the second quarter, including for the special election for U.S. Senate in Ohio. Former Sen. Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, has again outraised Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace now-Vice President JD Vance. Brown’s campaign reported more than $17.1 million raised from April 1 to June 30,… -
news
Michigan Senate Candidates Engage in Party Infighting Over Tax Returns Ahead of Democrat Primary
After immense pressure from primary opponent Rep. Haley Stevens, D-Mich., Abdul El-Sayed has released tax return information in advance of the Aug. 4 primary in Michigan. Both Stevens and El-Sayed are running as Democrats for the open U.S. Senate seat to replace retiring Democrat Sen. Gary Peters. El-Sayed’s tax return information was shared on Wednesday…